BOYS RANCH H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 88 students:
≈ 21 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $43,272 per student in district revenue, the 21 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $908,712/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHANNING SCHOOL CHANNING |
Public | 11.4 | 25 | — |
| VEGA H S VEGA |
Public | 21.6 | 108 | -15.0% |
| WILDORADO SCHOOL WILDORADO |
Public | 24.2 | 68 | -5.6% |
| BUSHLAND H S AMARILLO |
Public | 25.0 | 497 | -2.0% |
| HARTLEY SCHOOL HARTLEY |
Public | 25.5 | 69 | +11.3% |
| DUMAS H S DUMAS |
Public | 27.6 | 1,192 | +3.7% |
| RIVER ROAD H S AMARILLO |
Public | 28.2 | 400 | -10.7% |
| ADRIAN SCHOOL ADRIAN |
Public | 29.2 | 42 | — |