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AMARILLO H S

Public
AMARILLO, TX · AMARILLO ISD · 31.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 493 in 2021 to 482 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-2.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,161 students:

2025
2,159
2027
2,154
2029
2,149

≈ 12 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,070 per student in district revenue, the 12 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $144,840/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY AMARILLO
AMARILLO
Public · charter 1.5 133 -26.9%
PREMIER H S OF AMARILLO
AMARILLO
Public · charter 1.6 250 -6.7%
TASCOSA H S
AMARILLO
Public 2.4 2,176 -0.4%
Ascension Academy
Amarillo
Private 2.4 171 -2.3%
AMARILLO COLLEGIATE ACADEMY
AMARILLO
Public · charter 2.5 115 +11.7%
Holy Cross Catholic Academy
Amarillo
Private 2.6 114 +20.0%
AMTECH CAREER ACADEMY
AMARILLO
Public 2.8 22
Central Baptist Christian Academy
Amarillo
Private 3.1 9

Is AMARILLO H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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