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BUSHLAND H S

Public
AMARILLO, TX · BUSHLAND ISD · 17.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 106 in 2021 to 133 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+25.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 497 students:

2025
494
2027
487
2029
481

≈ 16 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,641 per student in district revenue, the 16 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $202,256/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Ascension Academy
Amarillo
Private 7.2 171 -2.3%
WEST PLAINS H S
AMARILLO
Public 7.4 1,221 +34.2%
WILDORADO SCHOOL
WILDORADO
Public 8.2 68 -5.6%
AMARILLO H S
AMARILLO
Public 9.1 2,161 -0.3%
TASCOSA H S
AMARILLO
Public 10.1 2,176 -0.4%
PREMIER H S OF AMARILLO
AMARILLO
Public · charter 10.2 250 -6.7%
AMTECH CAREER ACADEMY
AMARILLO
Public 10.2 22
San Jacinto Christian Academy
Amarillo
Private 10.5 270 -23.1%

Is BUSHLAND H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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