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SABINAL SECONDARY

Public K–12 / combined
SABINAL, TX · SABINAL ISD · 63.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +22.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 224 students:

2025
275
2027
415
2029
625

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $18,383 per student in district revenue, the 401 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $7,371,583/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
KNIPPA SCHOOL
KNIPPA
Public 9.9 93 +13.4%
D'HANIS SCHOOL
D'HANIS
Public 12.1 89 -12.7%
UVALDE H S
UVALDE
Public 20.1 1,148 -1.0%
HONDO H S
HONDO
Public 20.3 518 -3.2%
CROSSROADS ACADEMY
UVALDE
Public 20.5 59
UTOPIA SCHOOL
UTOPIA
Public 20.5 66 +1.5%
Uvalde Classical Academy
Uvalde
Private 20.5 97 +2.1%
LEAKEY SCHOOL
LEAKEY
Public 32.9 96 -1.0%

Is SABINAL SECONDARY winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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