HONDO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 518 students:
≈ 27 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,518 per student in district revenue, the 27 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $337,986/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'HANIS SCHOOL D'HANIS |
Public | 8.2 | 89 | -12.7% |
| MEDINA VALLEY H S CASTROVILLE |
Public | 18.2 | 2,626 | +35.6% |
| DEVINE H S DEVINE |
Public | 18.7 | 551 | +1.1% |
| DEVINE DAEP SCHOOL DEVINE |
Public | 19.5 | 7 | — |
| DEVINE LEARNING ACADEMY DEVINE |
Public | 19.5 | 26 | — |
| NATALIA H S NATALIA |
Public | 20.1 | 352 | +5.4% |
| SABINAL SECONDARY SABINAL |
Public | 20.3 | 143 | +18.2% |
| LYTLE H S LYTLE |
Public | 21.1 | 525 | +7.8% |