THREE RIVERS JR/SR H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 254 students:
≈ 49 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $22,321 per student in district revenue, the 49 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,093,729/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEORGE WEST H S GEORGE WEST |
Public | 9.4 | 274 | +5.4% |
| MCMULLEN COUNTY SCHOOL TILDEN |
Public | 22.8 | 89 | -2.2% |
| PETTUS SECONDARY PETTUS |
Public | 25.6 | 117 | +13.6% |
| A C JONES H S BEEVILLE |
Public | 25.8 | 969 | -0.1% |
| CONNALLY KENEDY |
Public · charter | 30.3 | 83 | — |
| KENEDY H S KENEDY |
Public | 32.3 | 219 | -3.1% |
| SKIDMORE-TYNAN H S SKIDMORE |
Public | 32.8 | 231 | -3.3% |
| MATHIS H S MATHIS |
Public | 33.9 | 408 | -5.1% |