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MATHIS H S

Public
MATHIS, TX · MATHIS ISD · 77.2% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 95 in 2021 to 95 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+0.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 408 students:

2025
401
2027
387
2029
374

≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $18,469 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $627,946/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
ORANGE GROVE H S
ORANGE GROVE
Public 12.1 496 -10.8%
SKIDMORE-TYNAN H S
SKIDMORE
Public 14.1 231 -3.3%
ODEM H S
ODEM
Public 16.5 278 -1.8%
CALALLEN H S
CORPUS CHRISTI
Public 19.1 1,147 -2.1%
BANQUETE H S
BANQUETE
Public 19.2 247 -13.0%
SINTON H S
SINTON
Public 19.5 547 -12.6%
ROBSTOWN EARLY COLLEGE H S
ROBSTOWN
Public 21.3 750 +4.5%
Grace Temple Christian Academy
Corpus Christi
Private 21.4 28

Is MATHIS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →