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SKIDMORE-TYNAN H S

Public
SKIDMORE, TX · SKIDMORE-TYNAN ISD · 70.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 58 in 2021 to 53 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-8.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 231 students:

2025
228
2027
223
2029
218

≈ 13 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $17,004 per student in district revenue, the 13 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $221,052/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
A C JONES H S
BEEVILLE
Public 12.0 969 -0.1%
MATHIS H S
MATHIS
Public 14.1 408 -5.1%
SINTON H S
SINTON
Public 18.9 547 -12.6%
ODEM H S
ODEM
Public 21.9 278 -1.8%
WOODSBORO H S
WOODSBORO
Public 22.3 127 +1.6%
REFUGIO H S
REFUGIO
Public 25.4 222 +1.4%
TAFT H S
TAFT
Public 26.0 249 -12.6%
ORANGE GROVE H S
ORANGE GROVE
Public 26.1 496 -10.8%

Is SKIDMORE-TYNAN H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →