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KENEDY H S

Public
KENEDY, TX · KENEDY ISD · 79.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 219 students:

2025
217
2027
212
2029
208

≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $20,829 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $229,119/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
CONNALLY
KENEDY
Public · charter 3.9 83
KARNES CITY H S
KARNES CITY
Public 4.6 281 -15.4%
RUNGE H S
RUNGE
Public 9.6 41
PETTUS SECONDARY
PETTUS
Public 14.5 117 +13.6%
FALLS CITY H S
FALLS CITY
Public 14.8 119 -1.7%
NORDHEIM SCHOOL
NORDHEIM
Public 16.1 36
POTH H S
POTH
Public 21.8 275 +7.0%
YORKTOWN H S
YORKTOWN
Public 23.4 171 +11.0%

Is KENEDY H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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