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STEPHENVILLE H S

Public
STEPHENVILLE, TX · STEPHENVILLE ISD · 42.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 223 in 2021 to 268 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+20.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,079 students:

2025
1,078
2027
1,077
2029
1,076

≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,222 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $39,666/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
HUSTON ACADEMY
STEPHENVILLE
Public · charter 1.9 35
Stephenville Christian School
Stephenville
Private 2.6 36
LINGLEVILLE SCHOOL
LINGLEVILLE
Public 8.4 72 -21.7%
HUCKABAY SCHOOL
STEPHENVILLE
Public 9.6 85 +13.3%
DUBLIN H S
DUBLIN
Public 10.2 319 -3.3%
THREE WAY JH/HS
STEPHENVILLE
Public 13.1 55 -17.9%
BLUFF DALE
BLUFF DALE
Public 15.4 62 +10.7%
DE LEON H S
DE LEON
Public 18.9 182 -24.2%

Is STEPHENVILLE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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