THREE WAY JH/HS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -31.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 76 students:
≈ 65 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,651 per student in district revenue, the 65 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $887,315/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HICO H S HICO |
Public | 11.1 | 187 | +24.7% |
| STEPHENVILLE H S STEPHENVILLE |
Public | 13.1 | 1,079 | -0.2% |
| BLUFF DALE BLUFF DALE |
Public | 13.4 | 62 | +10.7% |
| HUSTON ACADEMY STEPHENVILLE |
Public · charter | 13.6 | 35 | — |
| Stephenville Christian School Stephenville |
Private | 14.4 | 36 | — |
| IREDELL SCHOOL IREDELL |
Public | 14.8 | 43 | — |
| GLEN ROSE H S GLEN ROSE |
Public | 16.0 | 643 | +9.4% |
| TOLAR H S TOLAR |
Public | 16.6 | 272 | +7.5% |