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DUBLIN H S

Public K–12 / combined
DUBLIN, TX · DUBLIN ISD · 80.5% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 86 in 2021 to 73 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-15.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 486 students:

2025
483
2027
478
2029
473

≈ 13 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,462 per student in district revenue, the 13 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $188,006/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Stephenville Christian School
Stephenville
Private 7.7 36
HUSTON ACADEMY
STEPHENVILLE
Public · charter 8.3 35
STEPHENVILLE H S
STEPHENVILLE
Public 10.2 1,079 -0.2%
LINGLEVILLE SCHOOL
LINGLEVILLE
Public 10.9 72 -21.7%
DE LEON H S
DE LEON
Public 12.7 182 -24.2%
GUSTINE SCHOOL
GUSTINE
Public 17.4 38
HUCKABAY SCHOOL
STEPHENVILLE
Public 17.8 85 +13.3%
THREE WAY JH/HS
STEPHENVILLE
Public 18.0 55 -17.9%

Is DUBLIN H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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