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DE LEON H S

Public
DE LEON, TX · DE LEON ISD · 42.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -8.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 182 students:

2025
166
2027
138
2029
115

≈ 67 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $16,671 per student in district revenue, the 67 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,116,957/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
GORMAN H S
GORMAN
Public 10.4 87 +8.8%
LINGLEVILLE SCHOOL
LINGLEVILLE
Public 12.6 72 -21.7%
DUBLIN H S
DUBLIN
Public 12.7 319 -3.3%
COMANCHE H S
COMANCHE
Public 14.4 375 +7.8%
Stephenville Christian School
Stephenville
Private 16.6 36
SIDNEY SCHOOL
SIDNEY
Public 16.6 31
HUSTON ACADEMY
STEPHENVILLE
Public · charter 17.4 35
STEPHENVILLE H S
STEPHENVILLE
Public 18.9 1,079 -0.2%

Is DE LEON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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