RUNGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -15.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 60 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $22,520 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $765,680/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORDHEIM SCHOOL NORDHEIM |
Public | 6.4 | 36 | — |
| KENEDY H S KENEDY |
Public | 9.6 | 219 | -3.1% |
| CONNALLY KENEDY |
Public · charter | 10.8 | 83 | — |
| KARNES CITY H S KARNES CITY |
Public | 10.9 | 281 | -15.4% |
| YORKTOWN H S YORKTOWN |
Public | 13.8 | 171 | +11.0% |
| PETTUS SECONDARY PETTUS |
Public | 19.0 | 117 | +13.6% |
| FALLS CITY H S FALLS CITY |
Public | 20.1 | 119 | -1.7% |
| GOLIAD H S GOLIAD |
Public | 24.2 | 415 | +9.5% |