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GOLIAD H S

Public
GOLIAD, TX · GOLIAD ISD · 37.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 85 in 2021 to 101 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+18.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +3.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 415 students:

2025
428
2027
454
2029
483

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $13,229 per student in district revenue, the 68 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $899,572/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Devereux - Victoria
Victoria
Private 14.6 1
NORDHEIM SCHOOL
NORDHEIM
Public 21.7 36
YORKTOWN H S
YORKTOWN
Public 22.0 171 +11.0%
RUNGE H S
RUNGE
Public 24.2 41
PETTUS SECONDARY
PETTUS
Public 24.9 117 +13.6%
VICTORIA WEST H S
VICTORIA
Public 25.3 1,723 -0.6%
St Joseph High School
Victoria
Private 25.5 292 -3.3%
REFUGIO H S
REFUGIO
Public 26.1 222 +1.4%

Is GOLIAD H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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