NORDHEIM SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -8.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 116 students:
≈ 40 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,410 per student in district revenue, the 40 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $776,400/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUNGE H S RUNGE |
Public | 6.4 | 41 | — |
| YORKTOWN H S YORKTOWN |
Public | 7.4 | 171 | +11.0% |
| KENEDY H S KENEDY |
Public | 16.1 | 219 | -3.1% |
| CONNALLY KENEDY |
Public · charter | 16.9 | 83 | — |
| KARNES CITY H S KARNES CITY |
Public | 17.0 | 281 | -15.4% |
| GOLIAD H S GOLIAD |
Public | 21.7 | 415 | +9.5% |
| CUERO H S CUERO |
Public | 23.4 | 647 | +2.7% |
| PETTUS SECONDARY PETTUS |
Public | 23.7 | 117 | +13.6% |