RIO GRANDE CITY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,670 students:
≈ 130 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,108 per student in district revenue, the 130 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,834,040/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PREPARATORY FOR EARLY COLLEGE H S RIO GRANDE CITY |
Public | 5.6 | 430 | -5.5% |
| IDEA RIO GRANDE CITY COLLEGE PREPARATORY RIO GRANDE CITY |
Public · charter | 5.8 | 292 | +63.1% |
| GRULLA H S RIO GRANDE CITY |
Public | 8.5 | 716 | -0.3% |
| INSTRUCTIONAL & GUIDANCE CENTER ROMA |
Public | 12.8 | 27 | — |
| ROMA H S ROMA |
Public | 16.5 | 1,721 | -1.0% |
| THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S LA JOYA |
Public | 20.7 | 471 | +3.3% |
| HOPE ACADEMY LA JOYA |
Public | 20.7 | 57 | — |
| JIMMY CARTER EARLY COLLEGE H S LA JOYA |
Public | 20.7 | 327 | -8.7% |