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THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
LA JOYA, TX · LA JOYA ISD · 93.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 93 in 2021 to 85 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-8.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +1.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 471 students:

2025
476
2027
486
2029
497

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $14,581 per student in district revenue, the 26 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $379,106/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LA JOYA H S
LA JOYA
Public 0.2 2,405 -15.6%
JIMMY CARTER EARLY COLLEGE H S
LA JOYA
Public 0.3 327 -8.7%
HOPE ACADEMY
LA JOYA
Public 0.5 57
PREMIER H S OF PALMVIEW
PALMVIEW
Public · charter 6.4 108 -13.6%
JUAREZ-LINCOLN H S
MISSION
Public 6.9 1,952 -7.1%
LA JOYA PALMVIEW H S
MISSION
Public 7.2 2,073 -5.4%
IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY MISSION
MISSION
Public · charter 7.9 406 +0.2%
MISSION COLLEGIATE H S
ALTON
Public 9.1 399 -8.7%

Is THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

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