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JIMMY CARTER EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
LA JOYA, TX · LA JOYA ISD · 85.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 70 in 2021 to 59 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-15.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 327 students:

2025
317
2027
299
2029
281

≈ 46 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,581 per student in district revenue, the 46 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $670,726/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
HOPE ACADEMY
LA JOYA
Public 0.2 57
THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S
LA JOYA
Public 0.3 471 +3.3%
LA JOYA H S
LA JOYA
Public 0.3 2,405 -15.6%
PREMIER H S OF PALMVIEW
PALMVIEW
Public · charter 6.4 108 -13.6%
JUAREZ-LINCOLN H S
MISSION
Public 7.1 1,952 -7.1%
LA JOYA PALMVIEW H S
MISSION
Public 7.3 2,073 -5.4%
IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY MISSION
MISSION
Public · charter 7.8 406 +0.2%
MISSION COLLEGIATE H S
ALTON
Public 9.2 399 -8.7%

Is JIMMY CARTER EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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