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ROMA H S

Public
ROMA, TX · ROMA ISD · 86.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 351 in 2021 to 393 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+12.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,721 students:

2025
1,715
2027
1,704
2029
1,693

≈ 28 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,069 per student in district revenue, the 28 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $421,932/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
INSTRUCTIONAL & GUIDANCE CENTER
ROMA
Public 4.1 27
IDEA RIO GRANDE CITY COLLEGE PREPARATORY
RIO GRANDE CITY
Public · charter 10.8 292 +63.1%
PREPARATORY FOR EARLY COLLEGE H S
RIO GRANDE CITY
Public 11.3 430 -5.5%
RIO GRANDE CITY H S
RIO GRANDE CITY
Public 16.5 1,670 -4.7%
GRULLA H S
RIO GRANDE CITY
Public 23.6 716 -0.3%
HOPE ACADEMY
LA JOYA
Public 36.4 57
THELMA ROSA SALINAS STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S
LA JOYA
Public 36.4 471 +3.3%
ZAPATA H S
ZAPATA
Public 36.4 1,065 +7.9%

Is ROMA H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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