UVALDE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,148 students:
≈ 20 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,591 per student in district revenue, the 20 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $271,820/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uvalde Classical Academy Uvalde |
Private | 0.6 | 97 | +2.1% |
| CROSSROADS ACADEMY UVALDE |
Public | 0.6 | 59 | — |
| KNIPPA SCHOOL KNIPPA |
Public | 10.5 | 93 | +13.4% |
| LA PRYOR SECONDARY LA PRYOR |
Public | 19.4 | 135 | +3.8% |
| SABINAL SECONDARY SABINAL |
Public | 20.1 | 143 | +18.2% |
| UTOPIA SCHOOL UTOPIA |
Public | 31.5 | 66 | +1.5% |
| D'HANIS SCHOOL D'HANIS |
Public | 31.7 | 89 | -12.7% |
| LEAKEY SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public | 35.2 | 96 | -1.0% |