HEDLEY SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -8.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 95 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,442 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $729,028/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEMPHIS H S MEMPHIS |
Public | 11.1 | 117 | -17.0% |
| CLARENDON H S CLARENDON |
Public | 14.5 | 128 | -10.5% |
| WELLINGTON H S WELLINGTON |
Public | 25.1 | 168 | +10.5% |
| MCLEAN SCHOOL MCLEAN |
Public | 25.5 | 56 | -6.7% |
| SHAMROCK ISD SHAMROCK |
Public | 33.6 | 98 | -15.5% |
| GROOM SCHOOL GROOM |
Public | 34.6 | 39 | — |
| VALLEY SCHOOL TURKEY |
Public | 39.1 | 56 | -18.8% |
| CHILDRESS H S CHILDRESS |
Public | 39.4 | 317 | +7.8% |