LOVEJOY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,581 students:
≈ 95 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,267 per student in district revenue, the 95 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,355,365/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Christian Academy Lucas |
Private | 2.2 | 375 | -10.3% |
| PAT DILLARD SPECIAL ACHIEVEMENT CENTER ALLEN |
Public | 2.6 | — | — |
| ALLEN H S ALLEN |
Public | 2.8 | 5,206 | -2.1% |
| PLANO EAST SR H S PLANO |
Public | 4.7 | 3,033 | -2.9% |
| Renaissance School Mckinney |
Private | 5.2 | 26 | — |
| EMERSON H S MCKINNEY |
Public | 5.8 | 1,844 | +122.7% |
| MCKINNEY H S MCKINNEY |
Public | 6.1 | 2,668 | -9.8% |
| Collin County Cornerstone Christian Academy Mckinney |
Private | 6.2 | 367 | +1.9% |