ALLEN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 5,206 students:
≈ 177 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,062 per student in district revenue, the 177 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,311,974/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAT DILLARD SPECIAL ACHIEVEMENT CENTER ALLEN |
Public | 0.6 | — | — |
| LOVEJOY H S LUCAS |
Public | 2.8 | 1,581 | -3.7% |
| EMERSON H S MCKINNEY |
Public | 3.4 | 1,844 | +122.7% |
| Renaissance School Mckinney |
Private | 4.3 | 26 | — |
| Lucas Christian Academy Lucas |
Private | 4.9 | 375 | -10.3% |
| PLANO EAST SR H S PLANO |
Public | 4.9 | 3,033 | -2.9% |
| LIBERTY H S FRISCO |
Public | 5.1 | 1,798 | -7.1% |
| GUINN SPECIAL PROGRAMS CENTER PLANO |
Public | 5.2 | — | — |