Lucas Christian Academy
Private
K–12 / combined
Other religious
Lucas, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 418 in 2018 to
375 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-10.3%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2022's 375 students:
2023
365
2025
346
2027
327
≈ 48 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 48 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $768,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOVEJOY H S LUCAS |
Public | 2.2 | 1,581 | -3.7% |
| PAT DILLARD SPECIAL ACHIEVEMENT CENTER ALLEN |
Public | 4.5 | — | — |
| PLANO EAST SR H S PLANO |
Public | 4.7 | 3,033 | -2.9% |
| ALLEN H S ALLEN |
Public | 4.9 | 5,206 | -2.1% |
| WYLIE H S WYLIE |
Public | 5.1 | 3,189 | +6.4% |
| ACHIEVE ACADEMY WYLIE |
Public | 6.2 | 116 | +0.9% |
| Wylie Preparatory Academy Wylie |
Private | 6.6 | 296 | -1.0% |
| WYLIE EAST H S WYLIE |
Public | 6.9 | 2,709 | +10.8% |