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EMERSON H S

Public
MCKINNEY, TX · FRISCO ISD · 17.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 392 in 2023 to 471 in 2024 — over 1 years.
+20.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +30.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,844 students:

2025
2,408
2027
4,107
2029
7,003

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $11,681 per student in district revenue, the 5,159 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $60,262,279/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LIBERTY H S
FRISCO
Public 2.6 1,798 -7.1%
INDEPENDENCE H S
FRISCO
Public 3.3 1,698 -6.5%
Renaissance School
Mckinney
Private 3.3 26
ALLEN H S
ALLEN
Public 3.4 5,206 -2.1%
HERITAGE H S
FRISCO
Public 3.8 1,996 -2.9%
Red Comet
Frisco
Private 3.8 1,297 -54.4%
PAT DILLARD SPECIAL ACHIEVEMENT CENTER
ALLEN
Public 3.9
Coram Deo Academy Of Collin County
Plano
Private 4.0 535

Is EMERSON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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