MCKINNEY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,668 students:
≈ 420 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,345 per student in district revenue, the 420 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $6,024,900/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin County Cornerstone Christian Academy Mckinney |
Private | 0.6 | 367 | +1.9% |
| J J A E P MCKINNEY |
Public | 1.3 | 4 | — |
| Renaissance School Mckinney |
Private | 1.5 | 26 | — |
| IMAGINE INTERNATIONAL ACADEMY OF NORTH TEXAS MCKINNEY |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 252 | +10.5% |
| MCKINNEY BOYD H S MCKINNEY |
Public | 2.8 | 2,547 | -6.3% |
| SERENITY HIGH MCKINNEY |
Public | 3.0 | 3 | — |
| MCKINNEY NORTH H S MCKINNEY |
Public | 3.0 | 2,387 | +10.5% |
| COUNTY RESIDENTIAL CENTER MCKINNEY |
Public | 4.2 | 75 | +19.0% |