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WARREN H S

Public
WARREN, TX · WARREN ISD · 54.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 64 in 2021 to 80 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+25.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 339 students:

2025
335
2027
328
2029
321

≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,584 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $262,512/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
WOODVILLE H S
WOODVILLE
Public 12.3 360 -1.4%
SPURGER H S
SPURGER
Public 13.9 102 +12.1%
BIG SANDY SCHOOL
DALLARDSVILLE
Public 14.3 117 -15.8%
KOUNTZE H S
KOUNTZE
Public 16.7 328 -5.2%
COLMESNEIL JH/HS
COLMESNEIL
Public 20.7 122 -3.2%
SILSBEE H S
SILSBEE
Public 23.3 789 +3.4%
CHESTER H S
CHESTER
Public 25.0 80 +6.7%
EVADALE H S
EVADALE
Public 26.1 120 +0.0%

Is WARREN H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →