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JEFFERSON H S

Public
JEFFERSON, TX · JEFFERSON ISD · 67.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 79 in 2021 to 89 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+12.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 383 students:

2025
386
2027
393
2029
400

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $16,279 per student in district revenue, the 17 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $276,743/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Jefferson Christian Academy
Jefferson
Private 3.3 14
HARLETON H S
HARLETON
Public 14.0 217 -3.1%
LINDEN-KILDARE H S
LINDEN
Public 14.2 186 +13.4%
AVINGER SCHOOL
AVINGER
Public 14.6 42
MARSHALL EARLY GRADUATION SCHOOL
MARSHALL
Public 15.4 69 -39.5%
MARSHALL H S
MARSHALL
Public 17.0 1,467 +7.6%
Marshall Christian Academy
Marshall
Private 18.1 104 +44.4%
TEXAS EARLY COLLEGE H S
MARSHALL
Public · charter 18.4 82 -18.8%

Is JEFFERSON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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