TEXAS EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 97 students:
≈ 20 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,534 per student in district revenue, the 20 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $230,680/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Christian Academy Marshall |
Private | 0.6 | 104 | +44.4% |
| MARSHALL H S MARSHALL |
Public | 1.4 | 1,467 | +7.6% |
| MARSHALL EARLY GRADUATION SCHOOL MARSHALL |
Public | 3.4 | 69 | -39.5% |
| HALLSVILLE DAEP HALLSVILLE |
Public | 12.8 | — | — |
| HALLSVILLE H S HALLSVILLE |
Public | 13.9 | 1,451 | +2.0% |
| ELYSIAN FIELDS H S WASKOM |
Public | 15.2 | 229 | -9.5% |
| TATUM H S TATUM |
Public | 16.2 | 437 | -7.6% |
| WASKOM H S WASKOM |
Public | 16.7 | 257 | -6.9% |