AVINGER SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -6.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 112 students:
≈ 32 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,279 per student in district revenue, the 32 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $584,928/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUGHES SPRINGS H S HUGHES SPRINGS |
Public | 8.3 | 327 | -1.8% |
| Jefferson Christian Academy Jefferson |
Private | 11.3 | 14 | — |
| ORE CITY H S ORE CITY |
Public | 11.3 | 220 | -10.9% |
| DAINGERFIELD H S DAINGERFIELD |
Public | 11.9 | 343 | +26.1% |
| JEFFERSON H S JEFFERSON |
Public | 14.6 | 383 | +2.7% |
| LINDEN-KILDARE H S LINDEN |
Public | 15.3 | 186 | +13.4% |
| HARLETON H S HARLETON |
Public | 15.6 | 217 | -3.1% |
| NEW DIANA H S DIANA |
Public | 17.2 | 330 | -5.2% |