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HARLETON H S

Public
HARLETON, TX · HARLETON ISD · 44.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 54 in 2021 to 53 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-1.9%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 217 students:

2025
215
2027
210
2029
206

≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,259 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $156,849/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
NEW DIANA H S
DIANA
Public 10.6 330 -5.2%
HALLSVILLE H S
HALLSVILLE
Public 11.2 1,451 +2.0%
ORE CITY H S
ORE CITY
Public 12.5 220 -10.9%
UT TYLER UNIVERSITY ACADEMY AT LONGVIEW
LONGVIEW
Public · charter 12.5 87 +10.1%
DAN CHADWICK CAMPUS
LONGVIEW
Public · charter 13.0 128 -9.2%
HALLSVILLE DAEP
HALLSVILLE
Public 13.1
Jefferson Christian Academy
Jefferson
Private 13.2 14
LONGVIEW H S
LONGVIEW
Public · charter 13.6 2,272 +9.8%

Is HARLETON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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