MEDINA VALLEY H S
Public
CASTROVILLE, TX · MEDINA VALLEY ISD · 49.6% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 438 in 2021 to
563 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+28.5%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +10.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,626 students:
2025
2,907
2027
3,562
2029
4,365
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $12,435 per student in district revenue, the 1,739 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $21,624,465/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYTLE H S LYTLE |
Public | 7.5 | 525 | +7.8% |
| LYTLE DAEP LYTLE |
Public | 7.8 | 5 | — |
| SOUTHWEST H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 9.9 | 2,363 | +11.5% |
| BRENNAN H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 10.3 | 2,965 | -2.3% |
| NATALIA H S NATALIA |
Public | 11.0 | 352 | +5.4% |
| STEVENS H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 11.2 | 2,546 | -7.7% |
| LIGHTHOUSE HIGH SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 12.1 | 88 | +60.0% |
| IDEA MAYS COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 12.2 | 377 | +37.6% |