St Joseph High School
Private
Catholic
Victoria, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 302 in 2018 to
292 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-3.3%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2022's 292 students:
2023
290
2025
285
2027
280
≈ 12 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 12 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $192,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 2.0 | 238 | -15.6% |
| VISD SUCCESS ACADEMY VICTORIA |
Public | 2.1 | 214 | -7.8% |
| SECONDARY DAEP VICTORIA |
Public | 2.1 | 64 | — |
| VICTORIA EAST H S VICTORIA |
Public | 3.2 | 1,861 | -0.1% |
| VICTORIA WEST H S VICTORIA |
Public | 3.7 | 1,723 | -0.6% |
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 5.2 | 241 | -10.7% |
| VICTORIA REGIONAL JUVENILE JUSTICE CENTER VICTORIA |
Public | 5.3 | 25 | — |
| Devereux - Victoria Victoria |
Private | 11.4 | 1 | — |