VICTORIA WEST H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,723 students:
≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,744 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $211,392/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 3.0 | 238 | -15.6% |
| St Joseph High School Victoria |
Private | 3.7 | 292 | -3.3% |
| VICTORIA EAST H S VICTORIA |
Public | 3.8 | 1,861 | -0.1% |
| VISD SUCCESS ACADEMY VICTORIA |
Public | 5.6 | 214 | -7.8% |
| SECONDARY DAEP VICTORIA |
Public | 5.6 | 64 | — |
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 6.6 | 241 | -10.7% |
| VICTORIA REGIONAL JUVENILE JUSTICE CENTER VICTORIA |
Public | 6.9 | 25 | — |
| Devereux - Victoria Victoria |
Private | 12.3 | 1 | — |