GUSTINE SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 136 students:
≈ 14 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $20,087 per student in district revenue, the 14 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $281,218/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMANCHE H S COMANCHE |
Public | 11.6 | 375 | +7.8% |
| PRIDDY SCHOOL PRIDDY |
Public | 13.2 | 41 | — |
| DUBLIN H S DUBLIN |
Public | 17.4 | 319 | -3.3% |
| HAMILTON H S HAMILTON |
Public | 19.5 | 247 | +9.8% |
| DE LEON H S DE LEON |
Public | 20.0 | 182 | -24.2% |
| SIDNEY SCHOOL SIDNEY |
Public | 20.4 | 31 | — |
| BLANKET SCHOOL BLANKET |
Public | 22.4 | 55 | — |
| HICO H S HICO |
Public | 24.9 | 187 | +24.7% |