LOPEZ EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,739 students:
≈ 233 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,935 per student in district revenue, the 233 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,246,855/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDEA FRONTIER COLLEGE PREPARATORY BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 0.3 | 383 | -0.5% |
| PORTER EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 3.7 | 1,543 | -16.3% |
| LINCOLN PARK SCH BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 3.7 | — | — |
| RIVERA EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 4.0 | 2,150 | -6.8% |
| BROWNSVILLE EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 4.5 | 311 | -11.6% |
| HANNA EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 5.2 | 2,039 | -12.7% |
| First Baptist School Brownsville |
Private | 5.3 | 187 | -22.1% |
| St Joseph Academy Brownsville |
Private | 5.4 | 401 | -9.1% |