First Baptist School
Private
K–12 / combined
Other religious
Brownsville, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 240 in 2018 to
187 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-22.1%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -6.0%/year, projecting from 2022's 187 students:
2023
176
2025
155
2027
137
≈ 50 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 50 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $800,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Joseph Academy Brownsville |
Private | 0.3 | 401 | -9.1% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 122 | +9.9% |
| PREMIER H S OF BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.1 | 147 | +12.2% |
| TEXASWORKS - BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.1 | 16 | — |
| HANNA EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 1.5 | 2,039 | -12.7% |
| PORTER EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 1.7 | 1,543 | -16.3% |
| LINCOLN PARK SCH BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 1.8 | — | — |
| BROWNSVILLE EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 1.9 | 311 | -11.6% |