RIVERA EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,150 students:
≈ 237 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,935 per student in district revenue, the 237 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,302,595/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BROWNSVILLE ACADEMIC CENTER BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 2.7 | — | — |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 308 | -10.5% |
| IDEA FRONTIER COLLEGE PREPARATORY BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 3.8 | 383 | -0.5% |
| PORTER EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 3.9 | 1,543 | -16.3% |
| HANNA EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 4.0 | 2,039 | -12.7% |
| LOPEZ EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 4.0 | 1,739 | -8.3% |
| PREMIER H S OF BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 4.5 | 147 | +12.2% |
| TEXASWORKS - BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 4.5 | 16 | — |