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PORTER EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
BROWNSVILLE, TX · BROWNSVILLE ISD · 93.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 479 in 2021 to 352 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-26.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -5.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,543 students:

2025
1,454
2027
1,291
2029
1,147

≈ 396 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,935 per student in district revenue, the 396 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,518,260/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LINCOLN PARK SCH
BROWNSVILLE
Public 0.9
First Baptist School
Brownsville
Private 1.7 187 -22.1%
HANNA EARLY COLLEGE H S
BROWNSVILLE
Public 1.8 2,039 -12.7%
St Joseph Academy
Brownsville
Private 1.8 401 -9.1%
BROWNSVILLE EARLY COLLEGE H S
BROWNSVILLE
Public 1.9 311 -11.6%
PREMIER H S OF BROWNSVILLE
BROWNSVILLE
Public · charter 2.0 147 +12.2%
TEXASWORKS - BROWNSVILLE
BROWNSVILLE
Public · charter 2.0 16
TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-BROWNSVILLE
BROWNSVILLE
Public · charter 2.6 122 +9.9%

Is PORTER EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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