BROWNSVILLE EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 311 students:
≈ 58 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,935 per student in district revenue, the 58 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $808,230/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINCOLN PARK SCH BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 1.1 | — | — |
| IDEA RIVERVIEW COLLEGE PREPARATORY BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 416 | -5.9% |
| St Joseph Academy Brownsville |
Private | 1.7 | 401 | -9.1% |
| PORTER EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 1.9 | 1,543 | -16.3% |
| First Baptist School Brownsville |
Private | 1.9 | 187 | -22.1% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 2.8 | 122 | +9.9% |
| PREMIER H S OF BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 147 | +12.2% |
| TEXASWORKS - BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 16 | — |