RIVER ROAD H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 400 students:
≈ 69 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,197 per student in district revenue, the 69 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $979,593/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PALO DURO H S AMARILLO |
Public | 5.5 | 1,949 | +2.8% |
| NORTH HEIGHTS ALTER AMARILLO |
Public | 6.0 | 137 | -4.9% |
| San Jacinto Christian Academy Amarillo |
Private | 7.0 | 270 | -23.1% |
| AMTECH CAREER ACADEMY AMARILLO |
Public | 7.8 | 22 | — |
| TASCOSA H S AMARILLO |
Public | 8.2 | 2,176 | -0.4% |
| CAPROCK H S AMARILLO |
Public | 9.0 | 2,058 | -2.5% |
| PREMIER H S OF AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 9.2 | 250 | -6.7% |
| Holy Cross Catholic Academy Amarillo |
Private | 9.5 | 114 | +20.0% |