Tranquillity High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Big Picture Educational Academy → Carter G. Woodson Public Charter → Endeavor Charter → Firebaugh High School → Career Technical Education Charter → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-3.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~366 | -13 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~341 | -38 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~318 | -61 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Fresno County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Families who enroll at Tranquillity High School stay (91.3% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping faster than Fresno County (school +1.1% vs. county +6.7%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place. Chronic absenteeism is also at 31.4% (up +3.3 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
34 of 389 students who enrolled at Tranquillity High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (8.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 3.3 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Golden Plains Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 25.8%
Federal: 17.7%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Golden Plains Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-6.4 pp vs. peer median (11.7%) · Ranked #4 of 4 similar schools
18.5%
11.7%
53.3%
5.3%
Higher than 5% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Tranquillity High School's UC Reach of 5.3% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Tranquillity High School's UC Reach is higher than 5% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Tranquillity High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Tranquillity · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Tranquillity High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 4): 5% vs. a peer median of 12%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 13 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 1% (91→92 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +5%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-3.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~341 by 2029 — about 38 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 38 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranquillity High School | Public | 379 | 5.3% | +1% |
| Peer-group median | 11.7% | +5% | ||
| Big Picture Educational Academy | Public | 419 | — | +24% |
| Carter G. Woodson Public Charter | Public | 369 | — | -8% |
| Endeavor Charter | Public | 343 | — | +338% |
| Firebaugh High School | Public | 674 | 11.7% | +4% |
| Career Technical Education Charter | Public | 339 | — | +9% |
| W.e.b. Dubois Public Charter | Public | 298 | — | -62% |
| Central Unified Alternative/Opportunity | Public | 262 | — | +11% |
| Cambridge Continuation High | Public | 447 | — | -8% |
| Mendota High School | Public | 1060 | 13.5% | +6% |
| Riverdale High School | Public | 497 | 6.4% | -13% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 3.51 | 45.5% | 33.3% | +12.1pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | — |
| UC Davis → | 11 | 5 | — | 45.5% | 5.3% | — | 3.51 | 3.75 |