Minarets High School
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Chawanakee Academy Charter → Minarets Charter High School → Sierra High → Endeavor Charter → Gateway High (continuation) → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+6.0%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~314 | +18 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~352 | +56 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~396 | +100 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Madera County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
On the surface Minarets High School looks fine — enrollment is +55.6% vs. Madera County +6.9%, and 87.1% of students stay through year-end. But <strong>chronic absenteeism is at 32.8%, up +14.5 pts since 2016-17 (county median 29.1%). Disengagement leads departure — families pull back from the day-to-day before they formally leave. The demand signal usually follows within 2–3 years.
36 of 279 students who enrolled at Minarets High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (12.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 14.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Chawanakee Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 20.4%
Federal: 4.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Chawanakee Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Minarets High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Oneals · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 56% (36→56 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -4%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+6.0%/yr); projects to ~352 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minarets High School | Public | 296 | — | +56% |
| Peer-group median | 12.8% | -4% | ||
| Chawanakee Academy Charter | Public | 164 | — | -43% |
| Minarets Charter High School | Public | 173 | — | +4% |
| Sierra High | Public | 358 | 7.5% | -38% |
| Endeavor Charter | Public | 343 | — | +338% |
| Gateway High (continuation) | Public | 220 | — | -24% |
| Yosemite High School | Public | 509 | 18.1% | -37% |
| Central Unified Alternative/Opportunity | Public | 262 | — | +11% |
| Design Science Middle College High | Public | 256 | — | +0% |
| Career Technical Education Charter | Public | 339 | — | +9% |
| Carter G. Woodson Public Charter | Public | 369 | — | -8% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2020 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2024.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '20 | Avg GPA (Adm) '20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | — |