Manzanita Elementary Charter

· Sonoma County · Rincon Valley Union Elementary
Public Sonoma County 🏛 Rincon Valley Union Elementary → CDS 4970896…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Spring Lake Charter → Village Elementary Charter → Santa Rosa Charter School For The Arts → Whited Elementary Charter → Binkley Elementary Charter → Compare all similar →

No UC admissions data on file for Manzanita Elementary Charter.

This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment
582 (2018)395 (2026)
-32.1%

If this trend holds (-4.7%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~376 -19 $0
3 yr (2029) ~342 -53 $0
5 yr (2031) ~310 -85 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sonoma County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Stability rate
93.3%
362 of 388 students

26 of 388 students who enrolled at Manzanita Elementary Charter this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (6.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Sonoma County median
92.0% · school is in the 63rd percentile of 59 HS
Statewide median
88.7% · in the 77th percentile of 2,648 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (217) 94.0%
Hispanic / Latino (155) 91.0%
White (141) 95.7%
Students w/ disabilities (79) 92.4%
English learners (49) 95.9%
Two or more races (32) 100.0%

Nearest peer high schools

Spring Lake Charter 94.9% Village Elementary Charter 91.9% Santa Rosa Charter School For The Arts 92.9% Whited Elementary Charter 91.6% Binkley Elementary Charter 94.8%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.

Chronic absent
14.2%
54 of 381 students

Absenteeism is up 5.8 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Sonoma County median
17.5% · school is better than 67% of 58 HS
Statewide median
20.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

Manzanita Elementary Charter — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • At its recent rate (-4.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~342 by 2029 — about 53 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

395 students (2026)
~342 projected (2029)
at -4.7%/yr

That's about 53 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Manzanita Elementary Charter Public 395
Peer-group median -32%
Spring Lake Charter Public 393
Village Elementary Charter Public 388
Santa Rosa Charter School For The Arts Public 375
Whited Elementary Charter Public 340
Binkley Elementary Charter Public 349
Pathways Charter Public 379 -32%
Santa Rosa French-American Charter (srfacs) Public 544
Thomas Page Academy Public 403
Wright Charter Public 342
Morrice Schaefer Charter Public 318

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

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