Pathways Charter
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Most similar nearby schools
Technology High School → Credo High School → Ridgway High (continuation) → Calistoga Junior/Senior High → Saint Helena High School → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Pathways Charter.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~377 | -2 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~373 | -6 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~369 | -10 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sonoma County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -32.2% vs. county -0.1% AND stability (64.4%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem.
67 of 188 students who enrolled at Pathways Charter this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (35.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 26.8 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Pathways Charter — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 32% (59→40 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +4%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~373 by 2029 — about 6 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 6 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathways Charter | Public | 379 | — | -32% |
| Peer-group median | 18.2% | +4% | ||
| Technology High School | Public | 344 | 31.6% | +10% |
| Credo High School | Public | 487 | 21.3% | +235% |
| Ridgway High (continuation) | Public | 252 | — | -4% |
| Calistoga Junior/Senior High | Public | 345 | 20.3% | +32% |
| Saint Helena High School | Public | 443 | 16.2% | -2% |
| New Technology High School | Public | 378 | 10.4% | +10% |
| Elsie Allen High School | Public | 930 | 5.2% | -15% |
| Healdsburg High School | Public | 510 | 40.3% | -20% |
| Roseland Charter | Public | 1181 | — | +14% |
| Middletown High School | Public | 417 | 7.0% | -13% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →