Hesperia High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Oak Hills High School → Alta Vista Innovation High → Sultana High School → Excelsior Charter → Silverado High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+3.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,576 | +82 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,749 | +255 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,934 | +440 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Bernardino County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
On the surface Hesperia High School looks fine — enrollment is +31.6% vs. San Bernardino County +0.0%, and 80.3% of students stay through year-end. But <strong>chronic absenteeism is at 40.8%, up +22.9 pts since 2016-17 (county median 25.1%). Disengagement leads departure — families pull back from the day-to-day before they formally leave. The demand signal usually follows within 2–3 years.
534 of 2,707 students who enrolled at Hesperia High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (19.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 22.9 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Hesperia Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 12.3%
Federal: 13.4%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Hesperia Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+4.2 pp above peer median (9.2%) · Ranked #2 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
9.2%
53.3%
13.4%
Higher than 34% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Hesperia High School's UC Reach of 13.4% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
In San Bernardino County, where the local median is just 12.6%, this score is unusually strong for its immediate market.
Overall, Hesperia High School's UC Reach is higher than 34% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Hesperia High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Hesperia · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Hesperia High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 9): 13% vs. a peer median of 9%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 5 points since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 32% (440→579 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +11%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+3.3%/yr); projects to ~2749 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hesperia High School | Public | 2494 | 13.4% | +32% |
| Peer-group median | 9.2% | +11% | ||
| Oak Hills High School | Public | 2447 | 12.7% | +16% |
| Alta Vista Innovation High | Public | 2640 | — | +130% |
| Sultana High School | Public | 2087 | 9.2% | +13% |
| Excelsior Charter | Public | 2260 | — | +8% |
| Silverado High School | Public | 2209 | 7.3% | -7% |
| Victor Valley High School | Public | 2258 | 8.6% | +10% |
| Adelanto High School | Public | 2291 | 9.3% | +25% |
| Riverside Preparatory | Public | 2404 | 13.1% | +49% |
| Apple Valley High School | Public | 2163 | 13.6% | -7% |
| Serrano High School | Public | 2104 | 7.7% | -6% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.91 | 10.5% | 11.7% | -1.2pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.80 | 9.8% | 9.0% | +0.8pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.76 | 41.4% | 26.0% | +15.4pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.80 | 35.1% | 26.6% | +8.6pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.79 | 21.4% | 19.7% | +1.7pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.70 | 22.7% | 32.2% | -9.4pp | Under |
Where Hesperia High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (24.2% actual vs. 19.7% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 38 | 4 | — | 10.5% | 0.7% | — | 3.91 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 61 | 6 | 3 | 9.8% | 1.1% | 50.0% | 3.80 | 4.25 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 70 | 29 | 4 | 41.4% | 5.4% | 13.8% | 3.76 | 4.11 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 37 | 13 | 4 | 35.1% | 2.4% | 30.8% | 3.80 | 4.18 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 70 | 15 | 7 | 21.4% | 2.8% | 46.7% | 3.79 | 4.08 |
| UC Davis → | 22 | 5 | — | 22.7% | 0.9% | — | 3.70 | 4.20 |