Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Envision Academy For Arts & Technology → Dewey High School → Metwest High School → Greenwood Academy → Lps Oakland R&d Campus → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-2.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~145 | -3 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~138 | -10 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~132 | -16 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment growth is beating Alameda County (+5.9% vs. -9.6%), but 23 of 176 students didn't maintain continuous enrollment. Why are families leaving once enrolled? Chronic absenteeism is also at 39.2% (up +17.2 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
23 of 176 students who enrolled at Emery Secondary School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (13.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 17.2 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
+21.5 pp above peer median (9.6%) · Ranked #1 of 4 similar schools
18.5%
9.6%
53.3%
31.1%
Higher than 74% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Emery Secondary School's UC Reach of 31.1% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in Alameda County, where the local median is 33.7% and the top-10% bar is 68.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
Against similar schools, Emery Secondary School stands out clearly — the peer-group median is 9.6%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 72 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Emery Secondary School's UC Reach is higher than 74% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Emery Secondary School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Emeryville · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Emery Secondary School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 4): 31% vs. a peer median of 10%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 16 points since 2024.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Emery Secondary School is admitting at roughly +14 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.8) alone would predict (33% actual vs. 19% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 6% (34→36 from 2024 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -24%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-2.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~138 by 2029 — about 10 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 10 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Secondary School | Public | 148 | 31.1% | +6% |
| Peer-group median | 9.6% | -24% | ||
| Envision Academy For Arts & Technology | Public | 171 | — | -58% |
| Dewey High School | Public | 127 | — | -52% |
| Metwest High School | Public | 193 | 26.8% | +16% |
| Greenwood Academy | Public | 155 | — | -59% |
| Lps Oakland R&d Campus | Public | 143 | 8.3% | -36% |
| Gateway To College High At Laney College | Public | 100 | — | -11% |
| Oakland International High Sch | Public | 244 | 9.6% | -12% |
| Kipp San Francisco College Preparatory | Public | 177 | — | -40% |
| Downtown High | Public | 182 | — | +352% |
| Street Academy Alternative High | Public | 83 | — | +4% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.86 | 28.6% | 11.6% | +16.9pp | Over |
| UCLA | 3.85 | 25.0% | 8.9% | +16.1pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.72 | 41.2% | 32.1% | +9.1pp | Over |
Where Emery Secondary School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 13.6 points above what their GPAs predict (32.6% actual vs. 19.0% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 14 | 4 | 3 | 28.6% | 8.9% | 75.0% | 3.86 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 12 | 3 | — | 25.0% | 6.7% | — | 3.85 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | — |
| UC Davis → | 17 | 7 | 4 | 41.2% | 15.6% | 57.1% | 3.72 | 3.94 |