Aspire East Palo Alto Charter
📄 Shareable scorecard →Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Summit Preparatory Charter High → Circle of Independent Learning → East Palo Alto Academy → Design Tech High School → Connecting Waters Charter - East Bay → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Aspire East Palo Alto Charter.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-5.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~423 | -26 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~376 | -73 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~334 | -115 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Mateo County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -45.9% vs. county -2.1% AND stability (87.7%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem.
67 of 544 students who enrolled at Aspire East Palo Alto Charter this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (12.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Absenteeism is up 16.9 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Aspire East Palo Alto Charter — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 46% (37→20 from 2018 to 2019), trailing the peer-group median of -13%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-5.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~376 by 2029 — about 73 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 73 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspire East Palo Alto Charter | Public | 449 | — | -46% |
| Peer-group median | 8.3% | -13% | ||
| Summit Preparatory Charter High | Public | 380 | — | +38% |
| Circle of Independent Learning | Public | 384 | 8.3% | -16% |
| East Palo Alto Academy | Public | 245 | 4.4% | -9% |
| Design Tech High School | Public | 563 | 69.6% | +2% |
| Connecting Waters Charter - East Bay | Public | 518 | — | +244% |
| Everest Public High School | Public | 224 | 11.5% | -46% |
| Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori | Public | 583 | 7.3% | +56% |
| Opportunity Youth Academy | Public | 333 | — | -44% |
| Kipp Esperanza High School | Public | 178 | 7.0% | -39% |
| Tide Academy | Public | 199 | 10.3% | -43% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →