Kipp Esperanza High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Tide Academy → East Palo Alto Academy → Everest Public High School → Redwood High → Mission Early College High Sch → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+10.9%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~197 | +19 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~243 | +65 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~299 | +121 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Mateo County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -38.9% vs. county -16.1% AND stability (82.8%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem. Chronic absenteeism is also at 37.3% (up +23.5 pts from 2020-21) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
36 of 209 students who enrolled at Kipp Esperanza High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (17.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 23.5 pp since 2020-21. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Sequoia Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 79.5%
Federal: 3.9%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Sequoia Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-3.9 pp vs. peer median (10.9%) · Ranked #4 of 5 similar schools
18.5%
10.9%
53.3%
7.0%
Higher than 8% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Kipp Esperanza High School's UC Reach of 7.0% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in San Mateo County, where the local median is 29.6% and the top-10% bar is 65.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
Overall, Kipp Esperanza High School's UC Reach is higher than 8% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Kipp Esperanza High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · East Palo Alto · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Kipp Esperanza High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 5): 7% vs. a peer median of 11%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 3 points since 2024.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 39% (72→44 from 2024 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -19%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+10.9%/yr); projects to ~243 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kipp Esperanza High School | Public | 178 | 7.0% | -39% |
| Peer-group median | 10.9% | -19% | ||
| Tide Academy | Public | 199 | 10.3% | -43% |
| East Palo Alto Academy | Public | 245 | 4.4% | -9% |
| Everest Public High School | Public | 224 | 11.5% | -46% |
| Redwood High | Public | 157 | — | -32% |
| Mission Early College High Sch | Public | 190 | 40.7% | +92% |
| Robertson High (continuation) | Public | 162 | — | +1% |
| San Jose Conservation Corps Charter | Public | 185 | — | -29% |
| Opportunity Academy | Public | 202 | — | +450% |
| Oxford Day Academy | Public | 82 | — | +60% |
| Brenkwitz High | Public | 139 | — | -35% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 3.64 | 16.7% | 32.4% | -15.7pp | Under |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2024–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | — |
| UC Davis → | 24 | 4 | — | 16.7% | 7.0% | — | 3.64 | — |